Strategy Discussion

Submitted by Sean on July 29, 2007 - 5:52am.

As we get going, I think it's important that we have some discussion about where we stand and what we can reasonably hope to accomplish here. Toward that end, I wanted to throw out some ideas, not so much to dictate any kind of policy, but to start a discussion about where we are and how we can maximize our effectiveness over the next two years. In keeping with the vision of those who established the site, the point of this discussion is not to set hard and fast rules, but to attempt to reach some general consensus about how the community can maximize its effectiveness. I look forward to an active discussion in the comments about these points and any others that community members think may be important.

In terms of where we are, I don't think that the environment has significantly changed since last November. Our Presidential candidates are lagging in polls and getting their collective clock cleaned in fundraising. Scandals are continuing and our scandals, as always, are getting more coverage than theirs. Polling on Iraq has not improved, and those numbers won't start improving until the September report, at earliest. In the Senate, we have at this point one realistic chance of a pick-up, two if Tim Johnson retires. That means that we have almost no chance of retaking the Senate in 2008. Our best shot at anything is taking back the House.

With that in mind, I'd like to throw out a few suggestions. I hope you'll at least give them some thought, and then have at them.

-- We should forget raising money for Presidential candidates, at least until we have a nominee-apparent. For starters, the Presidential primaries are civil wars. Now obviously there is a reason for them and we all have our favorites, but for two reasons, I think we should leave them out. First, I think we're likely to ultimately lose the race, so money raised will be spent toward a losing cause. Second, even if we were to win it, it is likely that two-thirds or more of the money raised would go to candidates who don't even make the general election. Those are dollars that could go to taking back the House or holding serve in the Senate.

-- Let's stay out of primaries altogether. I hate suggesting that, and if we were in control of either house of Congress right now, I wouldn't. Especially with the Democrats' huge cash advantage, though, we have limited resources and should spend them on beating Democrats, not Republicans. So while I would love to replace both Lindsey Graham and Ted Stevens, I don't want to do so at the expense of protecting Norm Coleman and John Sununu.

-- We should focus primarily on protecting incumbents and Republican-held open seats, along with selecting a few carefully chosen and highly competitive challengers. This is a departure from the left's strategy, which focuses mainly on marginal candidates and seeks to expand the playing field. While they waste their money on safe Republican seats, we'll be focusing on more serious races. What's more, if we don't protect our incumbents, we could lose the House for the long term.

-- Let's concede the Senate. By "concede", I don't mean ignore. Let's seek to hold serve, focusing almost exclusively on protecting incumbents. I'd consider it a successful cycle if we stayed where we are.

-- Most importantly, let's focus on taking back the House. Of the three - House, Senate, and Presidency - I think this is by far our best opportunity. There were plenty of Democrats who won in districts they shouldn't have taken last year, and the longer they stay there, the harder they will be to defeat.

-- Finally, I want to throw out for discussion whether there should be any standard for inclusion. I'd say that a candidate should be at least "generally conservative" to be included. Basically, that means that conservatives don't cringe every time his name comes up.

Again, none of this is to attempt to set a policy in stone, but just to try to get us all singing from the same hymnal, even if we're singing in different ranges.

Thoughts?

 

Comments

Primary Efforts

Many of the local GOP leaders are too quick to support any candidate they view as "electable". We all know of occations where that has come home to haunt the conservatives.I hope and trust Red Tent can help direct more attetion to the primary selection process and severe candidate vetting of back ground,honesty,and real values, not just the PR music we hear from GOP establishment.

Reelect Conservative Incumbents

If you want conservatives in office, reelecting the ones we have is even more important than nominating new ones. So how about heading over to the stump speech for Rep. Marilyn Musgrave and voicing your support for adding her to the slate? If she loses, you can bet that Republicans will look to nominate a "moderate" to take on her replacement in 2010.

www.republicansenate.org

A suggestion

I know I have seen the need for it discussed on several different sites, but I have yet to see a centralized 'database' or 'map' of seats that are in play or vunerable. Maybe there should be an interactive map of the US that will show the 'up for grabs' seats in each state, which ones we need to retain, which ones the Dems are aiming for, and which ones we have a good shot at turning around. That way users of this site can see exactly what we need to accomplish. I would gladly help with research for the different candidates. Just a few thoughts.... It might very well already have been done, I just haven't happened upon it.

Lists of Races Likely to be Competitive.

They're lists, not maps, but the Cook Political Report has good run-downs on the House and Senate races likely to be competitive.

http://cookpolitical.com/races/report_pdfs/08%20House_race_aug6.pdf

http://cookpolitical.com/races/report_pdfs/2008%20sen_ratings_jun27.pdf

www.republicansenate.org

Working on it

We're actually working on that. I hope it will be an easy way for people to take some of the race info that they see here on BRT and other places like RedState and get a good visual idea of how the races shape up state by state.

Wonderful

That's great, and again, let me know if you need any help. I am good at research, but know next to nothing of tech stuff, so I don't think I would add much there.